Bielefeld vs Heidenheim Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Schüco-Arena
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.80
Away Win
3.38
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Bielefeld
Heidenheim
Joel Grodowski ⚽
13'
20'
🟨 Paul Hennrich
24'
🟨 Patrick Mainka
Maximilian Bauer 🟨
28'
30'
⚽ (P) Budu Zivzivadze
45+3'
⚽ Paul Hennrich (Marnon Busch)
Felix Hagmann (Leon Jensen) ⚽
55'
59'
🟨 Jan Schoppner
Joel Grodowski 🟨
59'
Maximilian Grosser 🟨
76'
88'
🟨 Luca Kerber
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
6
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Bielefeld (4-4-2)
J. Kersken
H. Koudossou
M. Bauer
M. Großer
T. Handwerker
M. Momuluh
S. Russo
M. Wörl
J. Grodowski
J. Rochelt
D. Min
Heidenheim (4-4-2)
T. Dähne
M. Busch
P. Mainka
J. Föhrenbach
M. Heule
P. Hennrich
J. Schöppner
J. Niehues
C. Conteh
A. Vogt
B. Zivzivadze
Player Ratings ?
Bielefeld
F. HagmannD7.7
J. KerskenG7.3
J. GrodowskiM7.1
Heidenheim
P. HennrichM7.4
B. ZivzivadzeF7.4
M. BuschD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bielefeld edge defence, Heidenheim edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Heidenheim have won three of their last five away outings, while Bielefeld remain unbeaten at home with two victories and three draws in that same span. Bielefeld have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that period. Heidenheim rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Bielefeld rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. Heidenheim won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 26 February 2023, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Bielefeld's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bielefeld win
Latest market chance 45.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.5% → 45.0%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.5%
±0.0 pts
Heidenheim win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.0% → 29.6%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bielefeld
Draw
Heidenheim
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BielefeldHeidenheim
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
3rd
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
2.40
1.60
Goals/Game
2.40
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.3
Shots/Game
16.2
4.0
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Bielefeld at home (3 matches) vs Heidenheim away (3 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
2.33
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bielefeld
Home form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Heidenheim
Away form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bielefeld Wins
1
Draws
2
Heidenheim Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Bielefeld0 – 1Heidenheim
Heidenheim1 – 1Bielefeld
Bielefeld3 – 0Heidenheim
Heidenheim0 – 0Bielefeld
Bielefeld1 – 2Heidenheim
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bielefeldvs
Heidenheim
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.0%→Latest 60.3%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Bielefeld's 10 matches and 5 of Heidenheim's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?