Darmstadt vs Bielefeld Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.11
Draw
3.77
Away Win
2.24
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Darmstadt
Bielefeld
Lee Ho-Jae (Noah Weisshaupt) ⚽
3'
33'
🟨 monju thaddaus momuluh
Raoul Petretta 🟨
35'
Noah Weisshaupt 🟨
45+2'
Kai Klefisch 🟨
48'
59'
⚽ Marius Worl
66'
🟨 Henri Koudossou
Milan Smit ⚽ (P)
86'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
8
17
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Darmstadt (4-4-2)
M. Schuhen
C. Lannert
Y. Lührs
P. Pfeiffer
R. Petretta
M. Richter
K. Klefisch
C. Sickinger
N. Weißhaupt
Lee Ho-Jae
M. Smit
Bielefeld (4-3-3)
J. Kersken
H. Koudossou
M. Bauer
M. Großer
A. Sicker
M. Mehlem
S. Russo
M. Wörl
M. Momuluh
J. Grodowski
J. Rochelt
Player Ratings ?
Darmstadt
Lee Ho-JaeF8.1
M. SmitF7.1
Y. FurukawaF7.0
Bielefeld
M. WörlM7.5
M. GroßerD6.9
M. BauerD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Bielefeld
Bielefeld rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Bielefeld an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bielefeld have secured just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while Darmstadt remain winless at home with two draws from five matches. Darmstadt have found the net in only two of their last five home fixtures and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Bielefeld rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Bielefeld won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 4 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Darmstadt's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Bielefeld.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Darmstadt
Darmstadt's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Darmstadt win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Bielefeld remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Darmstadt win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.5% → 31.8%
−2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.9%
+0.4 pts
Bielefeld win
Latest market chance 42.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
40.0% → 42.2%
+2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Darmstadt
Draw
Bielefeld
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DarmstadtBielefeld
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
10th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.75
1.75
Conceded/Game
2.00
11.3
Shots/Game
13.3
3.0
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Darmstadt at home (3 matches) vs Bielefeld away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.00
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Darmstadt
Home form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bielefeld
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Darmstadt Wins
0
Draws
2
Bielefeld Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Bielefeld2 – 1Darmstadt
Darmstadt2 – 2Bielefeld
Bielefeld3 – 1Darmstadt
Darmstadt1 – 1Bielefeld
Bielefeld1 – 0Darmstadt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Darmstadtvs
Bielefeld
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 58.9%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 62.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Darmstadt's 10 matches and 6 of Bielefeld's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?