Dresden vs Bochum Head to Head, Prediction
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.73
Away Win
3.27
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Dresden
Bochum
2'
🟨 Enis Çokaj
3'
⚽ K. Miyoshi (E. Cokaj)
20'
🟨 Koji Miyoshi
25'
⚽ K. Miyoshi (T. Meyer)
32'
🟨 Gerrit Holtmann
35'
🟨 Tom Meyer
36'
🟨 Oliver Olsen
40'
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
B. Bobzien (N. Hauptmann) ⚽
41'
Alexander Rossipal 🟨
45+1'
78'
🟨 Jarne Steuckers
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
15
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
6
8
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
7
5
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Dresden (4-2-3-1)
T. Schreiber
J. Sterner
A. Muhamedbegovic
F. Muller
A. Rossipal
R. Wagner
N. Rapp
J. Lemmer
N. Hauptmann
B. Bobzien
V. Vermeij
Bochum (4-2-3-1)
T. Horn
O. Olsen
M. Steinwender
K. Mets
M. Wittek
E. Cokaj
M. Pannewig
C. Rasmussen
K. Miyoshi
G. Holtmann
P. Hofmann
Player Ratings ?
Dresden
Ben BobzienM8.2
Niklas HauptmannM7.0
Ahmet MuhamedbegovićD6.9
Bochum
Koji MiyoshiM8.0
Timo HornG7.7
Enis ÇokajM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dresden edge attack and head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Dresden slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dresden stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dresden win
Latest market chance 44.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.6% → 44.7%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.0%
±0.0 pts
Bochum win
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.3%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dresden
Draw
Bochum
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DresdenBochum
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
13th
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.33
Goals/Game
0.33
2.67
Conceded/Game
0.67
12.7
Shots/Game
17.5
4.5
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Dresden at home (3 matches) vs Bochum away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dresden
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bochum
Away form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dresden Wins
2
Draws
2
Bochum Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Dresden2 – 0Bochum
Bochum1 – 2Dresden
Dresden1 – 2Bochum
Bochum2 – 2Dresden
Dresden2 – 2Bochum
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dresdenvs
Bochum
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.4%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 60.6%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Dresden's 10 matches and 7 of Bochum's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?