Greuther Furth vs Magdeburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.00
Draw
3.81
Away Win
2.29
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Greuther Furth
Magdeburg
5'
⚽ Emmanuel Iyoha (Herbert Bockhorn)
Omar Sillah (Felix Klaus) ⚽
20'
Jannis Heuer 🟨
33'
57'
🟨 Luka Hyryläinen
Paul Will 🟨
74'
Dennis Srbeny 🟨
79'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
8
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Greuther Furth (4-4-2)
Florian Hellstern
Lukas Reich
J. Heuer
Hendry Aron Blank
G. Itter
S. Appelkamp
P. Will
S. Bansé
Ole Pohlmann
F. Klaus
O. Sillah
Magdeburg (4-3-3)
D. Reimann
H. Bockhorn
T. Müller
A. MacNulty
A. Nollenberger
T. Müsel
L. Hyryläinen
F. Michel
E. Iyoha
M. Żukowski
M. Kwarteng
Player Ratings ?
Greuther Furth
O. SillahF8.0
Florian HellsternG7.4
Hendry Aron BlankD7.1
Magdeburg
E. IyohaF7.7
H. BockhornD7.5
A. MacNultyD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Greuther Furth edge attack, Magdeburg edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Greuther Furth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Magdeburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Magdeburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Magdeburg have recorded two victories from their last five away outings, while Greuther Furth have secured two wins and a draw during their last five home fixtures. Greuther Furth have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have kept just one clean sheet in that same recent run. Magdeburg rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence and head-to-head, while Greuther Furth hold a slight advantage in attack. Magdeburg won the most recent meeting 5-4 on 6 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Greuther Furth's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Greuther Furth's implied win probability has fallen by 5.8 percentage points, while Magdeburg's implied win probability has risen by 3.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Greuther Furth win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Magdeburg remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Greuther Furth win
Latest market chance 32.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.1% → 32.3%
−5.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.8% → 25.7%
+1.9 pts
Magdeburg win
Latest market chance 42.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.1% → 42.0%
+3.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Greuther Furth
Draw
Magdeburg
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Greuther FurthMagdeburg
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
1.80
1.60
Goals/Game
2.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.60
14.0
Shots/Game
14.8
5.8
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Greuther Furth at home (3 matches) vs Magdeburg away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Greuther Furth
Home form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Magdeburg
Away form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Greuther Furth Wins
1
Draws
3
Magdeburg Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.8
Greuther Furth4 – 5Magdeburg
Magdeburg4 – 5Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth1 – 1Magdeburg
Magdeburg2 – 2Greuther Furth
Magdeburg0 – 0Greuther Furth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Greuther Furthvs
Magdeburg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.9%→Latest 63.8%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.0%→Latest 66.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Greuther Furth's 10 matches and 5 of Magdeburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?