Hannover vs Karlsruhe Head to Head, Prediction
Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.66
Draw
3.87
Away Win
5.28
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Hannover
Karlsruhe
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson 🟨
5'
Lars Gindorf ⚽
26'
28'
⚽ Shio Fukuda
34'
🟨 Noel Eichinger
Marcel Hartel (Kolja Oudenne) ⚽
38'
Bastian Allgeier 🟨
45+1'
Waniss Taibi 🟨
45+4'
64'
🟨 Christoph Kobald
Boris Tomiak 🟨
65'
85'
⚽ Rafael Pinto Pedrosa (Lilian Egloff)
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Goal
7
1
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Hannover (3-4-3)
B. Allgeier
M. Bundu
V. Ghiță
L. Gindorf
M. Hartel
M. Neubauer
K. Oudenne
W. Taïbi
S. Þórðarson
B. Tomiak
L. Weinkauf
Karlsruhe (3-5-2)
H. Bernat
M. Franke
C. Kobald
D. Ofli
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
D. H. Zor
M. Wanitzek
K. Wiethaup
N. Eichinger
S. Fukuda
Louey Ben Farhat
Player Ratings ?
Hannover
L. GindorfF8.1
M. HartelM7.7
L. WeinkaufG7.3
Karlsruhe
S. FukudaF8.0
Rafael Pinto PedrosaM7.4
M. WanitzekM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hannover edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hannover stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hannover stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hannover slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hannover stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Hannover
Hannover's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hannover win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hannover win
Latest market chance 57.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
59.1% → 57.5%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 22.9%
+0.4 pts
Karlsruhe win
Latest market chance 19.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
18.4% → 19.5%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hannover
Draw
Karlsruhe
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HannoverKarlsruhe
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
8th
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
16.3
Shots/Game
17.3
5.7
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Hannover at home (3 matches) vs Karlsruhe away (2 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hannover
Home form
D
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Karlsruhe
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hannover Wins
4
Draws
0
Karlsruhe Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Karlsruhe1 – 3Hannover
Hannover3 – 0Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe1 – 0Hannover
Hannover2 – 1Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe1 – 2Hannover
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hannovervs
Karlsruhe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 65.2%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 63.7%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Hannover's 10 matches and 7 of Karlsruhe's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?