Holstein Kiel vs Nurnberg Head to Head, Prediction
Holstein-Stadion
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.43
Draw
3.67
Away Win
2.82
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Holstein Kiel
Nurnberg
Adrián Kaprálik 🟨
12'
David Zec 🟨
16'
34'
🟨 Eric Porstner
Guillermo Balzi 🟨
36'
41'
⚽ A. Markhiev (J. Fernandez)
P. Harres (A. Kapralik) ⚽
45'
A. Kapralik (J. Meffert) ⚽
50'
56'
⚽ P. Scobel (A. Markhiev)
Leon Parduzi 🟨
65'
77'
🟨 Rafael Lubach
83'
🟨 Giannis Masouras
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
14
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
7
10
Corner Kicks
8
17
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Holstein Kiel (4-5-1)
T. Weiner
H. Sekine
I. Nekic
D. Zec
J. Tolkin
A. Kapralik
G. Balzi
J. Meffert
K. Davidsen
J. Therkelsen
P. Harres
Nurnberg (4-2-3-1)
J. Reichert
T. Janisch
A. Kalogeropoulos
F. Otto
E. Porstner
A. Markhiev
J. Fernandez
J. Justvan
F. Becker
M. A. Zoma
P. Scobel
Player Ratings ?
Holstein Kiel
Adrián KaprálikM8.2
Phil HarresF7.9
Hiroki SekineD7.7
Nurnberg
Adam MarkhievM7.6
Alexios KalogeropoulosD7.5
Tim JanischD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Holstein Kiel edge defence, Nurnberg edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Holstein Kiel slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Holstein Kiel win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.6% → 39.3%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.6%
−0.3 pts
Nurnberg win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.5% → 34.1%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Holstein Kiel
Draw
Nurnberg
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Holstein KielNurnberg
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
1st
3
Games Played
3
0.67
Points/Game
3.00
1.33
Goals/Game
3.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.8
Shots/Game
16.7
3.8
Shots on Target
6.7
Home vs Away Context
Holstein Kiel at home (3 matches) vs Nurnberg away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.33
1.67
Goals/Game
2.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Holstein Kiel
Home form
D
W
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nurnberg
Away form
D
D
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Holstein Kiel Wins
2
Draws
1
Nurnberg Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Holstein Kiel2 – 3Nurnberg
Nurnberg1 – 1Holstein Kiel
Nurnberg0 – 4Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel0 – 2Nurnberg
Holstein Kiel2 – 1Nurnberg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Holstein Kielvs
Nurnberg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 59.6%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 62.6%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Holstein Kiel's 10 matches and 7 of Nurnberg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?