Karlsruhe vs Cottbus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BBBank Wildpark
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
4.32
Away Win
3.50
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Karlsruhe
Cottbus
7'
🟨 Lucas Copado
18'
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
45+2'
⚽ Lukas Michelbrink (Lucas Copado)
55'
⚽ Dominik Pelivan (Tolcay Cigerci)
62'
⚽ Justin Butler
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 🟨
65'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
20
Total Shots
25
5
Shots on Goal
10
5
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Karlsruhe (4-2-3-1)
H. Bernat
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
M. Franke
C. Kobald
D. Ofli
T. Civeja
D. H. Zor
Louey Ben Farhat
M. Wanitzek
N. Eichinger
S. Fukuda
Cottbus (4-2-3-1)
M. Lotka
H. Rorig
K. Manu
Luca Erlein
A. Borgmann
Lukas Michelbrink
L. Bittencourt
T. Ciğerci
J. Boziaris
L. Copado
J. Butler
Player Ratings ?
Karlsruhe
H. BernatG7.7
S. FukudaF6.8
M. WanitzekM6.8
Cottbus
Lukas MichelbrinkM8.2
J. ButlerF8.1
D. PelivanM7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Karlsruhe stronger
Karlsruhe rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Karlsruhe stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Karlsruhe stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Karlsruhe slightly stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Cottbus have struggled on the road with just a solitary draw from their last five away outings, while Karlsruhe have secured two victories in their corresponding home sample over that same span. Karlsruhe have found the net in every one of their last five home matches, though they have conceded goals in each fixture and failed to keep a single clean sheet during that period. Karlsruhe rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2014. Over the 5-day comparison window, Karlsruhe's implied win probability has fallen by 5.5 percentage points, while Cottbus's implied win probability has risen by 4.9 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Karlsruhe stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
62%
Cottbus yellow cards after 75'
1
Cottbus points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Karlsruhe win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Karlsruhe win
Latest market chance 49.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
54.8% → 49.3%
−5.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.5% → 23.1%
+0.6 pts
Cottbus win
Latest market chance 27.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
22.7% → 27.6%
+4.9 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KarlsruheCottbus
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
13th
4
Games Played
4
1.25
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
2.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
3.00
17.3
Shots/Game
17.5
5.8
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Karlsruhe at home (4 matches) vs Cottbus away (3 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
2.33
2.50
Conceded/Game
2.33
25%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Karlsruhe
Home form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cottbus
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Karlsruhe Wins
3
Draws
0
Cottbus Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
Cottbus1 – 0Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe2 – 0Cottbus
Karlsruhe2 – 0Cottbus
Cottbus2 – 0Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe1 – 0Cottbus
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Karlsruhevs
Cottbus
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.60
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.2%→Latest 70.6%+4.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 69.3%+4.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Karlsruhe's 10 matches and 6 of Cottbus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?