Nurnberg vs Hannover Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.64
Draw
3.98
Away Win
2.48
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Nurnberg
Hannover
Julian Justvan ⚽
5'
8'
⚽ (P) Lars Gindorf
Finn Ole Becker 🟨
23'
Piet Scobel 🟨
32'
Mohamed Alì Zoma ⚽
65'
76'
🟨 Maurice Neubauer
Tim janisch 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
27
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Nurnberg (4-2-3-1)
J. Reichert
T. Janisch
A. Kalogeropoulos
F. Otto
E. Porstner
A. Marhiev
J. Fernandez
J. Justvan
F. Becker
M. Zoma
P. Scobel
Hannover (3-1-4-2)
L. Weinkauf
B. Allgeier
B. Tomiak
V. Ghiță
S. Þórðarson
M. Neubauer
M. Hartel
W. Taïbi
K. Oudenne
B. Pichler
L. Gindorf
Player Ratings ?
Nurnberg
M. ZomaM8.1
J. JustvanM7.9
F. OttoD7.1
Hannover
L. WeinkaufG7.5
L. GindorfF7.0
B. TomiakD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nurnberg edge recent form, attack and defence, Hannover edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hannover stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nurnberg have secured four victories in their last five home outings, while Hannover have managed three wins from five away fixtures during that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue, yet they have also kept three clean sheets in that identical sample period. Nurnberg rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Hannover rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Nurnberg
Nurnberg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Nurnberg win as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Hannover remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nurnberg win
Latest market chance 36.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.9% → 36.9%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.6%
±0.0 pts
Hannover win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.5% → 37.5%
−2.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+2+10−1Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nurnberg
Draw
Hannover
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Nurnberg
Hannover
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
13th
4
Games Played
4
2.50
Points/Game
1.00
3.25
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
16.7
Shots/Game
16.3
6.7
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Nurnberg at home (3 matches) vs Hannover away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
3.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nurnberg
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Hannover
Away form
W
W
D
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nurnberg Wins
1
Draws
1
Hannover Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-05-172025-2026
Hannover3 – 3Nurnberg
2025-12-212025-2026
Nurnberg2 – 1Hannover
2025-03-012024-2025
Nurnberg1 – 2Hannover
2024-09-292024-2025
Hannover2 – 0Nurnberg
2024-01-262023-2024
Hannover3 – 0Nurnberg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nurnberg
vs
Hannover
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
83.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
64.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
44.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
66.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.0%→Latest 64.3%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 66.7%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Nurnberg's 10 matches and 6 of Hannover's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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