Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.55
Draw
3.74
Away Win
2.57
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nurnberg edge recent form and defence, Wolfsburg edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nurnberg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nurnberg have enjoyed a perfect run in their last five home outings, while Wolfsburg have recorded three wins from five away matches during this period. The hosts have scored in each of their last five matches at home but have also kept three clean sheets in that same sample. Nurnberg rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Wolfsburg rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Wolfsburg yellow cards after 75'
15
Nurnberg points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nurnberg win
Latest market chance 37.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.6% → 37.6%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.5%
±0.0 pts
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 37.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.9% → 37.9%
±0.0 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NurnbergWolfsburg
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
4th
6
Games Played
6
2.67
Points/Game
1.83
2.67
Goals/Game
2.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
16.7
Shots/Game
18.7
6.7
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Nurnberg at home (3 matches) vs Wolfsburg away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
2.00
3.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
100%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nurnberg
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wolfsburg
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nurnberg Wins
0
Draws
2
Wolfsburg Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Wolfsburg2 – 0Nurnberg
Nurnberg0 – 2Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg4 – 1Nurnberg
Nurnberg1 – 1Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg2 – 2Nurnberg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nurnbergvs
Wolfsburg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.0%→Latest 68.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.4%→Latest 68.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Nurnberg's 10 matches and 4 of Wolfsburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?