Augsburg vs Leverkusen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
WWK Arena
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.99
Draw
4.18
Away Win
1.83
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Augsburg
Leverkusen
18'
⚽ Christian Kofane (Edmond Tapsoba)
Noahkai Banks 🟨
38'
Michael Gregoritsch (Hennes Behrens) ⚽
50'
Michael Gregoritsch (Fabian Rieder) ⚽
55'
M. Baum 🟨
60'
72'
🟨 Guéla Doué
89'
⚽ Patrik Schick (Malik Tillman)
Match Statistics ?
37%
Ball Possession
63%
8
Total Shots
30
5
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
14
6
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
F. Dahmen
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
C. Matsima
C. Brackelmann
M. Wolf
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens
R. Fellhauer
A. Ibrahimović
M. Gregoritsch
Leverkusen (4-2-3-1)
M. Flekken
J. Quansah
E. Tapsoba
F. Medina
Miguel Gutiérrez
E. Fernández
Aleix García
M. Diaby
I. Maza
Afonso Moreira
Christian Kofane
Player Ratings ?
Augsburg
M. GregoritschF9.2
F. RiederM7.3
C. MatsimaD6.6
Leverkusen
P. SchickF8.2
Christian KofaneF8.0
Aleix GarcíaM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Augsburg edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Augsburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leverkusen have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Augsburg have secured two victories and drawn twice in their corresponding home sample. Augsburg have found the net in all five of their recent home fixtures but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Augsburg rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while attack is closely matched. Augsburg won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 18 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Leverkusen's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Augsburg's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points, while Leverkusen's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Leverkusen
Leverkusen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Leverkusen win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 23.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.0% → 23.9%
+1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.2% → 23.2%
+1.0 pts
Leverkusen win
Latest market chance 52.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
55.9% → 52.9%
−3.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AugsburgLeverkusen
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
8th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
3.50
Goals/Game
3.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
14.0
Shots/Game
22.5
7.2
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Augsburg at home (2 matches) vs Leverkusen away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.50
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Augsburg
Home form
L
D
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Leverkusen
Away form
D
W
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Augsburg Wins
2
Draws
0
Leverkusen Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Leverkusen1 – 2Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 0Leverkusen
Leverkusen2 – 0Augsburg
Augsburg0 – 2Leverkusen
Leverkusen2 – 1Augsburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Augsburgvs
Leverkusen
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.1%→Latest 67.2%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.8%→Latest 66.5%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
8 of Augsburg's 10 matches and 8 of Leverkusen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?