Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Head to Head, Prediction
Allianz Arena
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.22
Draw
8.25
Away Win
13.40
Match Prediction
Data favours
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Bayern Munich an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bayern Munich win
Latest market chance 78.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
78.4% → 78.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 13.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.2% → 13.2%
±0.0 pts
RB Leipzig win
Latest market chance 8.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
8.4% → 8.4%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bayern Munich
Draw
RB Leipzig
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bayern MunichRB Leipzig
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
9th
4
Games Played
4
2.50
Points/Game
1.50
3.50
Goals/Game
2.25
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
21.8
Shots/Game
18.8
8.8
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Bayern Munich at home (2 matches) vs RB Leipzig away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
6.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bayern Munich
Home form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
4.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
RB Leipzig
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bayern Munich Wins
4
Draws
1
RB Leipzig Wins
0
Avg Goals
5.4
RB Leipzig1 – 5Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich6 – 0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig3 – 3Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich5 – 1RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich2 – 1RB Leipzig
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bayern Munichvs
RB Leipzig
Recent Scoring Profile
3.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Bayern Munich's 10 matches and 6 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?