FC Koln vs Werder Bremen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
RheinEnergieStadion
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.77
Away Win
3.39
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
FC Koln
Werder Bremen
Thijs Dallinga •
8'
Linton Maina (Ellyes Skhiri) ⚽
11'
69'
⚽ Niclas Füllkrug
72'
🟨 Olivier Deman
Gideon Mensah 🟨
86'
Paul Okon-Engstler 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
15
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
5
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
FC Koln (4-5-1)
M. Schwäbe
A. Castro-Montes
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
L. Lochoshvili
G. Mensah
M. Bülter
T. Krauß
E. Skhiri
M. Moore
L. Maina
T. Dallinga
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
K. Hein
Arthur
A. Pieper
M. Friedl
O. Deman
L. Reis
Y. Regeer
E. Dinkçi
Chuky San José
M. Grüll
N. Füllkrug
Player Ratings ?
FC Koln
E. SkhiriM7.7
L. MainaM7.7
M. SchwäbeG7.0
Werder Bremen
K. HeinG8.4
N. FüllkrugF8.2
A. PieperD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Koln edge attack, recent form, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
FC Koln stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Werder Bremen have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away outings, while FC Koln have secured two victories in that same span at home. FC Koln have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. FC Koln rate stronger on attack, while form, defence and head-to-head are closely matched. FC Koln won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 12 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Werder Bremen's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
FC Koln win
Latest market chance 45.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.2% → 45.7%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.6%
+0.1 pts
Werder Bremen win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.6%
+0.3 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FC KolnWerder Bremen
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
11th
2
Games Played
2
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
2.50
17.2
Shots/Game
13.8
5.5
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
FC Koln at home (2 matches) vs Werder Bremen away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.50
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Koln
Home form
D
W
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Werder Bremen
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Koln Wins
1
Draws
2
Werder Bremen Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
FC Koln3 – 1Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen1 – 1FC Koln
FC Koln0 – 1Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen2 – 1FC Koln
Werder Bremen1 – 1FC Koln
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Kolnvs
Werder Bremen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.50
Goals conceded / game
1.80
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.5%→Latest 60.5%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 62.7%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
8 of FC Koln's 10 matches and 8 of Werder Bremen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?