Hamburg vs Stuttgart Head to Head, Prediction
Volksparkstadion
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.51
Draw
4.41
Away Win
1.76
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stuttgart edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stuttgart slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hamburg win
Latest market chance 22.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 22.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.3% → 22.3%
±0.0 pts
Stuttgart win
Latest market chance 55.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.6% → 55.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hamburg
Draw
Stuttgart
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HamburgStuttgart
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
15th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
0.75
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
3.25
Conceded/Game
2.25
9.5
Shots/Game
15.2
3.8
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Hamburg at home (2 matches) vs Stuttgart away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
3.50
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hamburg
Home form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stuttgart
Away form
L
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hamburg Wins
2
Draws
1
Stuttgart Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.4
Stuttgart4 – 0Hamburg
Hamburg2 – 1Stuttgart
Stuttgart3 – 2Hamburg
Hamburg6 – 2Stuttgart
Stuttgart1 – 1Hamburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hamburgvs
Stuttgart
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.60
Goals conceded / game
2.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.0%→Latest 65.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Hamburg's 10 matches and 6 of Stuttgart's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?