Leverkusen vs Freiburg Head to Head, Prediction
BayArena
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.78
Draw
4.32
Away Win
4.52
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leverkusen edge attack and head-to-head, Freiburg edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leverkusen stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leverkusen stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 27 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leverkusen win
Latest market chance 55.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.3% → 55.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.9% → 22.9%
±0.0 pts
Freiburg win
Latest market chance 21.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leverkusen
Draw
Freiburg
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeverkusenFreiburg
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
3rd
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
2.50
2.50
Goals/Game
3.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
0.75
22.5
Shots/Game
19.0
6.2
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Leverkusen at home (2 matches) vs Freiburg away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
2.00
3.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leverkusen
Home form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Freiburg
Away form
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leverkusen Wins
3
Draws
2
Freiburg Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.6
Freiburg3 – 3Leverkusen
Leverkusen2 – 0Freiburg
Freiburg2 – 2Leverkusen
Leverkusen5 – 1Freiburg
Freiburg2 – 3Leverkusen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leverkusenvs
Freiburg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 2 bookmakers.
6 of Leverkusen's 10 matches and 6 of Freiburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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