RB Leipzig vs Ein Frankfurt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Red Bull Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.55
Draw
5.04
Away Win
5.16
Match Prediction
Data favours
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving RB Leipzig a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Defence
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
RB Leipzig have been perfect at home with five wins from their last five outings, while Ein Frankfurt have mixed fortunes away in this same sample size with two wins and two draws from five matches. The hosts have scored in each of their last five home games but have kept three clean sheets in that same run. RB Leipzig rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. RB Leipzig won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 18 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Ein Frankfurt's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 22-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives RB Leipzig a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
RB Leipzig
No current absences reported
Ein Frankfurt
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 22 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
RB Leipzig win
Latest market chance 61.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
61.7% → 61.9%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.8% → 19.5%
−0.3 pts
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.5% → 18.6%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
RB Leipzig
Draw
Ein Frankfurt
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 22 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RB LeipzigEin Frankfurt
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
10th
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
1.25
2.25
Goals/Game
2.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.50
18.8
Shots/Game
13.8
6.2
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
RB Leipzig at home (2 matches) vs Ein Frankfurt away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
2.00
4.00
Goals/Game
3.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
RB Leipzig
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ein Frankfurt
Away form
W
D
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
RB Leipzig Wins
3
Draws
1
Ein Frankfurt Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.2
Ein Frankfurt1 – 3RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig6 – 0Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt4 – 0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt2 – 2RB Leipzig
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
RB Leipzigvs
Ein Frankfurt
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.8%→Latest 73.0%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.6%→Latest 67.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches and 6 of Ein Frankfurt's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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