Schalke 04 vs Elversberg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
VELTINS-Arena
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.06
Draw
3.63
Away Win
3.64
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Schalke 04
Elversberg
26'
🟨 Felix Keidel
36'
🟨 Noah Darvich
Hassan Kurucay 🟨
62'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
13
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Schalke 04 (3-4-2-1)
L. Karius
T. Becker
N. Katić
H. Kuruçay
J. Dina Ebimbe
S. El-Faouzi
S. Tanaka
R. Gosens
K. Karaman
A. Aouchiche
E. Džeko
Elversberg (4-2-3-1)
N. Kristof
J. Gyamerah
L. Pinckert
M. Rohr
L. Günther
F. Keidel
Ł. Poręba
L. Petkov
Noah Darvich
William Cole Campbell
D. Mokwa
Player Ratings ?
Schalke 04
H. KuruçayD7.1
A. AouchicheM7.0
K. KaramanM6.9
Elversberg
M. RohrD7.1
L. PinckertD7.1
N. KristofG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Schalke 04 edge head-to-head, Elversberg edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Elversberg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Schalke 04 stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Elversberg arrives with a perfect away record in their last outing, while Schalke 04 have secured two victories and two draws from five home fixtures across both campaigns. Schalke 04 have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same span. Both squads carry two players unavailable for selection, with Elversberg additionally listing one player as doubtful ahead of the Bundesliga clash. Elversberg rate stronger on form, while Schalke 04 rate stronger on head-to-head. Schalke 04 won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 12 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Elversberg's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Schalke 04's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Elversberg's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Elversberg points from last 1 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Schalke 04
Schalke 04's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Schalke 04 win as more likely than it did 9 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Schalke 04 win
Latest market chance 48.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.9% → 48.3%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.4% → 25.5%
−1.9 pts
Elversberg win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.7% → 26.2%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Schalke 04
Draw
Elversberg
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Schalke 04Elversberg
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
8th
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.33
11.8
Shots/Game
10.2
4.2
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Schalke 04 at home (2 matches) vs Elversberg away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
0.00
Goals/Game
2.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Schalke 04
Home form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Elversberg
Away form
W
Unbeaten in last 1 away
Limited history — only 1 away fixture on record for Elversberg.
4.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/1
Scored in
last 1
last 1
0/1
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Schalke 04 Wins
3
Draws
1
Elversberg Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Elversberg1 – 2Schalke 04
Schalke 041 – 0Elversberg
Schalke 041 – 2Elversberg
Elversberg1 – 4Schalke 04
Elversberg1 – 1Schalke 04
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Schalke 04vs
Elversberg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.67
2.50
Goals conceded / game
2.33
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/3
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/3
4/10
Failed to Score
0/3
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 62.9%+5.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 64.5%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Elversberg have only 3 completed fixtures on record.
7 of Schalke 04's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?