Schalke 04 vs Mainz Head to Head, Prediction
Veltins Arena
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.77
Draw
3.68
Away Win
2.61
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Schalke 04 edge head-to-head, Mainz edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Schalke 04 stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Schalke 04 win
Latest market chance 35.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.5% → 35.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.7%
±0.0 pts
Mainz win
Latest market chance 37.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.7% → 37.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Schalke 04
Draw
Mainz
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Schalke 04Mainz
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
6th
4
Games Played
4
1.25
Points/Game
1.75
0.75
Goals/Game
2.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.8
Shots/Game
18.2
4.2
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Schalke 04 at home (2 matches) vs Mainz away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
0.00
Goals/Game
4.50
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Schalke 04
Home form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mainz
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Schalke 04 Wins
2
Draws
3
Mainz Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Mainz2 – 3Schalke 04
Schalke 041 – 0Mainz
Schalke 040 – 0Mainz
Mainz2 – 2Schalke 04
Mainz0 – 0Schalke 04
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Schalke 04vs
Mainz
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 60.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Schalke 04's 10 matches and 6 of Mainz's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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