Stuttgart vs Dortmund Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MHP Arena
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.46
Draw
3.77
Away Win
2.76
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Stuttgart
Dortmund
Ermedin Demirović 🟨
13'
Angelo Stiller 🟨
17'
32'
🟨 Nico Schlotterbeck
46'
🟨 Joey Veerman
57'
🟨 Kouakou Joane Gadou
70'
⚽ Maximilian Beier (Jobe Bellingham)
81'
🟨 Jobe Bellingham
82'
🟨 Julian Ryerson
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Stuttgart (3-4-2-1)
F. Bredlow
Finn Jeltsch
J. Chabot
M. Mittelstädt
J. Vagnoman
G. Prömel
A. Stiller
C. Führich
B. El Khannouss
D. Undav
E. Demirović
Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
G. Kobel
Kouakou Joane Gadou
W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck
J. Ryerson
J. Veerman
F. Nmecha
D. Svensson
E. Nwaneri
M. Beier
S. Guirassy
Player Ratings ?
Stuttgart
M. MittelstädtD7.8
J. ChabotD7.0
A. StillerM6.8
Dortmund
M. BeierM7.6
G. KobelG7.6
F. NmechaM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stuttgart edge attack and head-to-head, Dortmund edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dortmund have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, while Stuttgart boast a more consistent record at home with three victories and a single draw in that same span. Stuttgart have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Concerns remain for Stuttgart with six players out and three doubtful, whereas Dortmund face no doubts despite having five players unavailable. Dortmund rate stronger on form and defence, while Stuttgart rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Dortmund won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 4 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Stuttgart's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Stuttgart's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Dortmund's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Stuttgart
Stuttgart's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Stuttgart win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stuttgart win
Latest market chance 39.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
41.4% → 39.3%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.7%
+0.4 pts
Dortmund win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.3% → 35.0%
+1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stuttgart
Draw
Dortmund
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StuttgartDortmund
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
3rd
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.67
2.67
Conceded/Game
0.67
15.2
Shots/Game
14.5
5.5
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Stuttgart at home (2 matches) vs Dortmund away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stuttgart
Home form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dortmund
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stuttgart Wins
3
Draws
1
Dortmund Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Stuttgart0 – 2Dortmund
Dortmund3 – 3Stuttgart
Dortmund1 – 2Stuttgart
Stuttgart5 – 1Dortmund
Dortmund0 – 1Stuttgart
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stuttgartvs
Dortmund
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded / game
0.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.7%→Latest 68.0%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 70.3%→Latest 69.2%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Stuttgart's 10 matches and 7 of Dortmund's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?