Union Berlin vs Dortmund Head to Head, Prediction
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
6.56
Draw
5.12
Away Win
1.50
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dortmund
Dortmund rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Union Berlin edge attack, giving Dortmund an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Union Berlin slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Union Berlin win
Latest market chance 15.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.4% → 15.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.5% → 19.5%
±0.0 pts
Dortmund win
Latest market chance 65.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
65.1% → 65.1%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Union Berlin
Draw
Dortmund
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Union BerlinDortmund
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
1st
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
3.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.25
4.25
Conceded/Game
0.50
11.8
Shots/Game
14.5
5.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Union Berlin at home (2 matches) vs Dortmund away (2 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Union Berlin
Home form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dortmund
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Union Berlin Wins
1
Draws
0
Dortmund Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.4
Union Berlin0 – 3Dortmund
Dortmund3 – 0Union Berlin
Dortmund6 – 0Union Berlin
Union Berlin2 – 1Dortmund
Union Berlin0 – 2Dortmund
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Union Berlinvs
Dortmund
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.80
Goals conceded / game
0.80
10/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.4%→Latest 60.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Union Berlin's 10 matches and 6 of Dortmund's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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