Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Head to Head, Prediction
Weserstadion
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.51
Away Win
5.75
Match Prediction
Data favours
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Werder Bremen a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Werder Bremen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Werder Bremen stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Werder Bremen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Werder Bremen stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 26 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Werder Bremen win
Latest market chance 60.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.8% → 60.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 22.1%
±0.0 pts
Paderborn win
Latest market chance 17.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.1% → 17.1%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Werder Bremen
Draw
Paderborn
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 26 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Werder BremenPaderborn
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
12th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
0.75
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
13.8
Shots/Game
11.8
6.5
Shots on Target
2.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Werder Bremen at home (2 matches) vs Paderborn away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
3.00
Goals/Game
0.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Werder Bremen
Home form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Paderborn
Away form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Werder Bremen Wins
2
Draws
1
Paderborn Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.6
Paderborn3 – 4Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen1 – 4Paderborn
Paderborn1 – 5Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen0 – 1Paderborn
Paderborn2 – 2Werder Bremen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Werder Bremenvs
Paderborn
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded / game
2.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.2%→Latest 61.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Werder Bremen's 10 matches and 6 of Paderborn's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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