Bristol City vs Lincoln Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ashton Gate Stadium
Tue 15 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.00
Draw
3.62
Away Win
3.79
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Bristol City
Lincoln
14'
🟨 Ben House
Lisav Naif Eissat 🟨
28'
37'
🟨 Deji Elerewe
lorent tolaj 🟨
41'
45'
🟨 F. Draper
53'
⚽ F. Draper (Ben House)
68'
🟨 Ryley Towler
69'
🟨 George Wickens
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
18
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
13
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
S. Tickle
Rio Cardines
R. Dickie
L. Eissat
C. Pring
J. Knight
G. Yah
J. Wallace
S. Twine
Y. Hirakawa
L. Tolaj
Lincoln (3-4-2-1)
G. Wickens
D. Elerewe
S. Bradley
R. Towler
D. Jefferies
I. Varfolomeev
C. McGrandles
A. Reach
B. House
C. Ogbene
F. Draper
Player Ratings ?
Bristol City
Rio CardinesD7.8
R. DickieD7.2
D. BallardF7.0
Lincoln
F. DraperF7.9
B. HouseM7.6
D. OyegokeD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bristol City edge recent form and attack, Lincoln edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bristol City slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bristol City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lincoln stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Lincoln have secured two victories in their last three away outings, while Bristol City have won three of their five home matches across both current and previous campaigns. Bristol City have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have also kept two clean sheets during that same span. Bristol City face just one absence in their squad, whereas Lincoln must manage two confirmed outcasts alongside one player listed as doubtful. Bristol City rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Lincoln rate stronger on defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol City win
Latest market chance 47.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.3% → 47.7%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.5% → 26.6%
+0.1 pts
Lincoln win
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 25.7%
−0.5 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol CityLincoln
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
1.67
Goals/Game
0.83
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.2
Shots/Game
12.6
4.6
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Bristol City at home (4 matches) vs Lincoln away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
2.25
0.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.50
50%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol City
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lincoln
Away form
L
W
W
Won 2 of last 3 away
Limited history — only 3 away fixtures on record for Lincoln.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.67
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
2/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Lincoln.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol Cityvs
Lincoln
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.83
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/6
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/6
1/10
Failed to Score
1/6
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 50.5%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 54.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Lincoln have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Bristol City's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?