Cardiff vs Charlton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cardiff City Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.78
Draw
4.12
Away Win
4.21
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Cardiff
Charlton
Jack Moylan (Yousef Salech) ⚽
8'
Yousef Salech (Jack Moylan) ⚽
24'
Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson 🟨
27'
29'
⚽ Tyreece Campbell (Tyler Bindon)
Ollie·Tanner 🟨
33'
35'
🟨 Dan McNamara
Joel Bagan 🟨
45+5'
51'
🟨 Oliver Skipp
Jack Moylan (Ollie·Tanner) ⚽
61'
90+4'
🟨 Ivan Mesik
C. Ashford 🟨
90+4'
Joel Colwill 🟨
90+6'
Brian Barry-Murphy 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
27
Total Shots
6
8
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
1
10
Fouls
15
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Cardiff (4-2-3-1)
N. Trott
P. Ng
K. Bielik
G. Osho
J. Bagan
A. Robertson
J. Colwill
O. Tanner
J. Moylan
C. Willock
Y. Salech
Charlton (4-2-3-1)
A. Okonkwo
D. McNamara
L. Jones
Tyler Bindon
I. Mesík
C. Coventry
O. Skipp
M. Alli
K. Ahearne-Grant
T. Campbell
M. Leaburn
Player Ratings ?
Cardiff
J. MoylanM8.7
Y. SalechF8.1
O. TannerM7.3
Charlton
T. CampbellM6.8
A. OkonkwoG6.6
Tyler BindonD6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cardiff edge attack and head-to-head, Charlton edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cardiff stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cardiff slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charlton have secured just one victory from their last five away outings, while Cardiff remain unbeaten at home with five consecutive draws. The Bluebirds have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Cardiff face potential disruption with four players out and one doubtful, whereas Charlton carry a heavier burden with seven unavailable squad members. Charlton rate stronger on form, while Cardiff rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2020. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cardiff win
Latest market chance 53.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.8% → 53.4%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.4% → 23.9%
+0.5 pts
Charlton win
Latest market chance 22.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.7% → 22.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cardiff
Draw
Charlton
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CardiffCharlton
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
0.57
Points/Game
1.71
1.00
Goals/Game
0.86
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.00
18.8
Shots/Game
9.6
6.6
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Cardiff at home (4 matches) vs Charlton away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.25
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cardiff
Home form
D
D
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charlton
Away form
D
L
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cardiff Wins
1
Draws
3
Charlton Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Cardiff0 – 0Charlton
Charlton2 – 2Cardiff
Charlton0 – 0Cardiff
Cardiff2 – 1Charlton
Cardiff1 – 2Charlton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cardiffvs
Charlton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.2%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 57.8%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Cardiff's 10 matches and 3 of Charlton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?