Charlton vs Portsmouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Valley
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.98
Draw
3.24
Away Win
2.54
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Charlton
Portsmouth
82'
🟨 John Michael Lewis Mousinho
Miles Leaburn 🟨
86'
86'
🟨 Ebou Adams
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
5
10
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Charlton (4-2-3-1)
A. Okonkwo
D. McNamara
L. Jones
Tyler Bindon
I. Mesík
C. Coventry
O. Skipp
M. Alli
K. Ahearne-Grant
T. Campbell
M. Leaburn
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
D. Bielica
T. Devlin
Benjamin Arthur
C. Shaughnessy
J. Meghoma
M. Pack
R. Shein
A. Kamara
A. Segecic
T. Shade
C. Bishop
Player Ratings ?
Charlton
A. OkonkwoG7.0
T. CampbellM6.9
L. JonesD6.8
Portsmouth
M. PackM7.2
D. BielicaG7.0
R. Kavuma McQueenF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charlton edge defence, Portsmouth edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charlton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Portsmouth have secured three away wins in their last five outings, while Charlton have matched that tally with three victories from their home fixtures over the same span. Charlton have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have only kept just a single clean sheet during that period. The hosts face significant concerns with five players unavailable and three others listed as doubtful for the match. Portsmouth rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while form and defence are closely matched. Portsmouth won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 17 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Charlton's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Charlton
Charlton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Charlton win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Portsmouth remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charlton win
Latest market chance 32.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.6% → 32.6%
−4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.9%
+0.5 pts
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 37.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
34.0% → 37.6%
+3.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Charlton
Draw
Portsmouth
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharltonPortsmouth
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
17th
6
Games Played
5
1.83
Points/Game
1.20
1.00
Goals/Game
1.40
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.60
9.6
Shots/Game
15.9
2.6
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Charlton at home (4 matches) vs Portsmouth away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
0.75
Goals/Game
1.33
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charlton
Home form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Portsmouth
Away form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charlton Wins
1
Draws
2
Portsmouth Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Charlton1 – 3Portsmouth
Portsmouth2 – 1Charlton
Charlton0 – 0Portsmouth
Portsmouth2 – 2Charlton
Portsmouth1 – 3Charlton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charltonvs
Portsmouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.5%→Latest 44.0%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.1%→Latest 50.3%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Charlton's 10 matches and 5 of Portsmouth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?