Derby vs Stoke Head to Head, Prediction

Pride Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stoke edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stoke stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stoke slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stoke slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Not enough odds history yet to show market movement for this fixture.
Team Comparison
Derby
Stoke
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
8th
8
Games Played
8
0.63
Points/Game
1.63
0.88
Goals/Game
1.62
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.2
Shots/Game
12.0
3.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Derby at home (4 matches) vs Stoke away (4 matches)
0.25
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
1.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.25
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Derby
Home form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Stoke
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Derby Wins
2
Draws
1
Stoke Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-04-062025-2026
Derby2 – 0Stoke
2025-08-092025-2026
Stoke3 – 1Derby
2025-05-032024-2025
Derby0 – 0Stoke
2024-11-022024-2025
Stoke2 – 1Derby
2021-12-302021-2022
Stoke1 – 2Derby
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Derby
vs
Stoke
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
2 of Derby's 10 matches and 2 of Stoke's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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