QPR vs Preston Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Loftus Road
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.76
Draw
3.97
Away Win
4.53
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
QPR
Preston
1'
⚽ Johnny Kenny (Stanley Mills)
Dennis Cirkin 🟥
15'
Leon Scarlett 🟨
22'
24'
🟨 Andrew Hughes
26'
⚽ Johnny Kenny
Koki Saito 🟨
55'
Julien Stéphan 🟨
65'
Kwame Poku ⚽
66'
90'
🟨 Harry Clarke
Paul Smyth ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
33
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Goal
3
10
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
QPR (4-4-2)
P. Charles
A. Mbengue
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
D. Cirkin
J. Varane
G. Kamara
N. Madsen
K. Poku
Leon Scarlett
R. Burrell
Preston (5-3-2)
D. Iversen
S. Mills
H. Clarke
J. Storey
A. Hughes
A. Vukčević
L. Leroy
J. Thompson
A. Devine
C. Lang
J. Kenny
Player Ratings ?
QPR
P. SmythF8.2
K. AdamsonD7.5
K. PokuM7.3
Preston
J. KennyF8.9
D. IversenG6.9
A. HughesD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
QPR
QPR rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving QPR a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Attack
QPR slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Preston have managed just one away win in their last five outings across seasons, while QPR sit on a mixed home record with one victory and a draw from their most recent five matches. QPR have found the net in three of their last five home games but have only managed one clean sheet during that same period. The hosts carry five absentees and one doubtful selection, whereas Preston face two confirmed outsidess alongside a single player under doubt. QPR rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, QPR's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Preston's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives QPR a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Preston losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Preston points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from QPR
QPR's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a QPR win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
QPR win
Latest market chance 54.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
55.8% → 54.4%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.7%
+0.6 pts
Preston win
Latest market chance 20.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.1% → 20.8%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
QPR
Draw
Preston
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
QPRPreston
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
23rd
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
0.43
1.14
Goals/Game
0.86
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.86
16.9
Shots/Game
12.9
5.2
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
QPR at home (4 matches) vs Preston away (4 matches)
1.25
Points/Game
0.25
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
QPR
Home form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Preston
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
QPR Wins
3
Draws
2
Preston Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Preston1 – 1QPR
QPR1 – 1Preston
Preston1 – 2QPR
QPR2 – 1Preston
QPR1 – 0Preston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
QPRvs
Preston
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.2%→Latest 52.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of QPR's 10 matches and 3 of Preston's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?