Sheffield United vs Lincoln Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bramall Lane
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.04
Draw
3.49
Away Win
3.66
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sheffield United edge attack, Lincoln edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Lincoln stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sheffield United slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Lincoln stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Lincoln have secured three victories from their last four away fixtures, whereas Sheffield United have managed just a single win and one draw across their most recent five home outings. Sheffield United have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Lincoln rate stronger on form and defence, while Sheffield United hold a slight advantage in attack. Over the 20-day comparison window, Sheffield United's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points, while Lincoln's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Sheffield United
No current absences reported
Lincoln
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Sheffield United
Sheffield United's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sheffield United win as less likely than it did 20 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sheffield United win
Latest market chance 46.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
49.9% → 46.7%
−3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 27.0%
+0.6 pts
Lincoln win
Latest market chance 26.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.7% → 26.3%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sheffield United
Draw
Lincoln
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 20 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sheffield UnitedLincoln
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
13th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.38
1.12
Goals/Game
0.88
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.00
8.2
Shots/Game
12.6
3.1
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Sheffield United at home (4 matches) vs Lincoln away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.25
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
25%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sheffield United
Home form
L
D
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lincoln
Away form
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Lincoln.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
3/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Sheffield United and Lincoln.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sheffield Unitedvs
Lincoln
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
0.88
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/8
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/8
3/10
Failed to Score
1/8
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.3%→Latest 53.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Lincoln have only 8 completed fixtures on record.
2 of Sheffield United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?