Stoke vs Charlton Head to Head, Prediction
Bet365 Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.38
Away Win
3.64
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Stoke
Charlton
J. Devenny ⚽ (P)
15'
E. Galbraith ⚽
22'
G. Hirst (E. Bocat) ⚽
25'
J. Devenny (E. Bocat) ⚽
41'
Ethan Galbraith 🟨
45+5'
45+3'
🟨 Miles Leaburn
48'
🟨 Danny McNamara
50'
🟨 Danny McNamara
50'
🟥 Danny McNamara
62'
🟨 Conor Coventry
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
20
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Stoke (3-5-2)
V. Johansson
B. Wilmot
B. Lawal
L. Graham
B. Johnson
J. Devenny
D. Soumare
E. Galbraith
E. Bocat
S. Gallagher
G. Hirst
Charlton (4-2-3-1)
A. Okonkwo
I. Mesik
L. Jones
T. Bindon
A. Bell
T. Ouma
O. Skipp
K. Grant
J. Rankin-Costello
T. Campbell
M. Leaburn
Player Ratings ?
Stoke
Justin DevennyM8.2
Ethan GalbraithM7.7
Eric BocatM7.7
Charlton
Miles LeaburnF7.0
Conor CoventryM6.9
Millenic AlliF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Charlton
Charlton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Charlton a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charlton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlton slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stoke win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.9% → 44.5%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 28.8%
−0.4 pts
Charlton win
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.7%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stoke
Draw
Charlton
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StokeCharlton
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
3rd
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
2.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
2.25
Conceded/Game
0.75
12.0
Shots/Game
9.6
4.0
Shots on Target
2.6
Home vs Away Context
Stoke at home (4 matches) vs Charlton away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.25
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stoke
Home form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charlton
Away form
D
D
L
W
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stoke Wins
2
Draws
0
Charlton Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Charlton1 – 0Stoke
Stoke3 – 0Charlton
Stoke3 – 1Charlton
Charlton3 – 1Stoke
Charlton1 – 0Stoke
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stokevs
Charlton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.2%→Latest 45.2%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 50.5%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Stoke's 10 matches and 6 of Charlton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?