Swansea vs Watford Head to Head, Prediction
Swansea.com Stadium
Tue 01 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.69
Away Win
3.99
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Swansea
Watford
Eom Ji-Sung (A. Idah) ⚽
8'
25'
🟨 O. H. Traore
A. Idah (Eom Ji-Sung) ⚽
29'
68'
🟨 H. Kyprianou
80'
🟨 K. Keben
90+1'
🟨 J. Zemura
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Swansea
Swansea rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Swansea an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Swansea win
Latest market chance 49.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.1% → 49.5%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 26.2%
±0.0 pts
Watford win
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 24.3%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Swansea
Draw
Watford
12 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SwanseaWatford
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
2.33
Points/Game
1.67
1.67
Goals/Game
1.33
0.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.0
Shots/Game
11.6
4.9
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Swansea at home (4 matches) vs Watford away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.25
1.25
Goals/Game
0.25
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Swansea
Home form
L
D
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Watford
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Swansea Wins
2
Draws
2
Watford Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Watford0 – 2Swansea
Swansea1 – 1Watford
Watford1 – 0Swansea
Swansea1 – 0Watford
Watford1 – 1Swansea
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Swanseavs
Watford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 50.1%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Swansea's 10 matches and 7 of Watford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?