West Brom vs QPR Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Hawthorns
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.18
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.47
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
West Brom
QPR
38'
⚽ (OG) Chris Mepham
Callum Styles (Felix Horn Myhre) ⚽
41'
51'
🟨 Glen Kamara
63'
🟨 Jake Clarke-Salter
64'
🟨 Jonathan Varane
80'
🟨 Rumarn Burrell
Ousmane·Diakite 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
12
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
West Brom (4-2-3-1)
M. O’Leary
C. Styles
N. Phillips
C. Mepham
C. Townsend
R. Nzingoula
J. Molumby
Tobias Christopher Collyer
I. Price
F. Myhre
A. Heggebø
QPR (4-2-3-1)
P. Charles
A. Mbengue
R. Edwards
J. Clarke-Salter
D. Cirkin
N. Madsen
J. Varane
K. Poku
H. Vale
P. Smyth
R. Burrell
Player Ratings ?
West Brom
C. StylesD8.0
N. PhillipsD7.2
J. MolumbyM6.9
QPR
P. CharlesG7.5
R. EdwardsD6.9
G. KamaraM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
West Brom
West Brom rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving West Brom a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Brom slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Brom have enjoyed a solid unbeaten run at home in their last five outings, while QPR have found mixed fortunes away from home with two wins and two defeats in that same span. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets in that identical period. Both sides carry one player out of contention, with QPR additionally listing another as doubtful for the upcoming fixture. West Brom rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. West Brom won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 29 December 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to QPR's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from West Brom
West Brom's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a West Brom win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Brom win
Latest market chance 44.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
48.2% → 44.2%
−4.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.2% → 28.2%
+2.0 pts
QPR win
Latest market chance 27.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.6% → 27.6%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Brom
Draw
QPR
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West BromQPR
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
2.17
Points/Game
1.83
1.50
Goals/Game
1.17
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
9.9
Shots/Game
16.9
3.8
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
West Brom at home (4 matches) vs QPR away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Brom
Home form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
QPR
Away form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Brom Wins
3
Draws
1
QPR Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
West Brom2 – 1QPR
QPR3 – 1West Brom
West Brom1 – 0QPR
QPR1 – 3West Brom
QPR2 – 2West Brom
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Bromvs
QPR
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 51.7%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.8%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of West Brom's 10 matches and 4 of QPR's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?