West Ham vs Wrexham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
London Stadium
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.26
Away Win
5.32
Match Report
Full Time
6 – 0
Match Events ?
West Ham
Wrexham
Jarrod Bowen (Felipe Morato) ⚽
28'
Joel Piroe (Taty Castellanos) ⚽
37'
Konstantinos Mavropanos (Jarrod Bowen) ⚽
48'
Taty Castellanos (Kyle Walker-Peters) ⚽
63'
Mohamadou Kante (Manor Solomon) ⚽
76'
Manor Solomon (Kyle Walker-Peters) ⚽
82'
Ollie Scarles 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
19
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Goal
1
3
Corner Kicks
6
10
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
West Ham (4-4-2)
M. Hermansen
J. Veltman
K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman
Morato
J. Bowen
D. Mukasa
A. Engels
M. Solomon
J. Piroe
V. Castellanos
Wrexham (3-4-2-1)
A. Patterson
Z. Vyner
J. Worrall
C. Doyle
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
G. Dobson
B. Whiteman
J. Ekomié
C. O'Hare
L. O'Brien
S. Smith
Player Ratings ?
West Ham
V. CastellanosF9.2
J. BowenM9.0
M. SolomonM9.0
Wrexham
B. WhitemanM6.6
G. DobsonM6.4
C. O'HareM6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. West Ham edge recent form and attack, Wrexham edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wrexham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
West Ham have secured four wins from their last five home outings, while Wrexham have recorded two victories in their away fixtures over the same span. The Hammers have scored in all of their recent home matches and have kept two clean sheets during that period. West Ham face one certain absence alongside two players under doubt, whereas Wrexham are dealing with two confirmed absences and three others in question. West Ham rate stronger on form and attack, while Wrexham hold a slight advantage in defence. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from West Ham
West Ham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a West Ham win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Ham win
Latest market chance 58.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
60.3% → 58.3%
−2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.3% → 23.4%
+1.1 pts
Wrexham win
Latest market chance 18.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
17.4% → 18.3%
+0.9 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
5 snapshots
+2+10−1Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Ham
Draw
Wrexham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West Ham
Wrexham
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
14th
6
Games Played
6
1.83
Points/Game
1.17
2.33
Goals/Game
1.17
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.83
15.8
Shots/Game
10.9
5.9
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
West Ham at home (4 matches) vs Wrexham away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.25
3.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Ham
Home form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Wrexham
Away form
W
L
D
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between West Ham and Wrexham.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Ham
vs
Wrexham
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
36.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 56.4%−3.5 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 55.1%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of West Ham's 10 matches and 4 of Wrexham's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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