Wolves vs West Brom Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Molineux Stadium
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.89
Draw
3.70
Away Win
4.23
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Wolves
West Brom
25'
🟨 Jayson Molumby
44'
🟨 Nathaniel Phillips
Fer López ⚽
50'
Marshall Munetsi 🟨
69'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
7
18
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
José Sá
K. Trippier
N. Djiga
Toti Gomes
Hugo Bueno
André
M. Munetsi
Rodrigo Gomes
Fer López
M. Mane
A. Armstrong
West Brom (4-4-2)
M. O’Leary
C. Styles
N. Phillips
G. Campbell
C. Townsend
Harry Whitwell
J. Molumby
O. Diakité
I. Price
A. Heggebø
J. Morgan
Player Ratings ?
Wolves
Fer LópezM8.2
Toti GomesD7.7
K. TrippierD7.5
West Brom
C. StylesD7.2
G. CampbellD7.0
C. TownsendD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wolves edge attack, West Brom edge head-to-head, recent form and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wolves remain unbeaten in their last five home outings with three wins and two draws, while West Brom have recorded three victories from their last five away fixtures but suffered two defeats. The home side have scored in four of their last five matches at this venue yet kept three clean sheets during that same recent sample. There are some concerns regarding availability for Wolves with three players unavailable, whereas West Brom face two absences ahead of the match. Wolves rate stronger on attack, while West Brom rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and defence are closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 7-day comparison window, Wolves's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while West Brom's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Wolves
Wolves's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wolves win as less likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolves win
Latest market chance 50.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
52.8% → 50.8%
−2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.5% → 26.4%
+0.9 pts
West Brom win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.7% → 22.8%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wolves
Draw
West Brom
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolvesWest Brom
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
7
1.83
Points/Game
2.00
2.33
Goals/Game
1.43
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.0
Shots/Game
9.9
4.6
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
Wolves at home (3 matches) vs West Brom away (4 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.50
2.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
67%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolves
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
West Brom
Away form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolves Wins
1
Draws
1
West Brom Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.8
West Brom1 – 1Wolves
Wolves2 – 3West Brom
Wolves1 – 5West Brom
West Brom2 – 0Wolves
Wolves3 – 1West Brom
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolvesvs
West Brom
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 50.3%−2.3 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 52.7%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Wolves's 10 matches and 3 of West Brom's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?