Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head, Prediction

Kooi Stadion
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
7.65
Draw
5.29
Away Win
1.38
Match Prediction
Data favours
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AZ Alkmaar a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 15 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cambuur win
Latest market chance 13.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.1% → 13.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.4% → 18.4%
±0.0 pts
AZ Alkmaar win
Latest market chance 68.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
68.6% → 68.6%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cambuur
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 15 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
1st
7
Games Played
7
0.71
Points/Game
2.71
1.43
Goals/Game
2.57
2.71
Conceded/Game
0.86
11.9
Shots/Game
19.4
4.1
Shots on Target
7.6
Home vs Away Context
Cambuur at home (4 matches) vs AZ Alkmaar away (3 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
3.00
1.50
Goals/Game
3.00
3.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cambuur
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Away form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cambuur Wins
0
Draws
1
AZ Alkmaar Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
2023-02-252022-2023
AZ Alkmaar2 – 1Cambuur
2022-08-282022-2023
Cambuur0 – 1AZ Alkmaar
2022-01-222021-2022
AZ Alkmaar0 – 0Cambuur
2021-10-032021-2022
Cambuur1 – 3AZ Alkmaar
2016-01-272015-2016
AZ Alkmaar3 – 1Cambuur
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cambuur
vs
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.40
2.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
68.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
49.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.6%→Latest 68.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 59.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 15 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Cambuur's 10 matches and 3 of AZ Alkmaar's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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