Cambuur vs Nijmegen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kooi Stadion
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.27
Draw
4.86
Away Win
1.54
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Cambuur
Nijmegen
Ilyes Hamache (Billy van Duijl) ⚽
21'
Devid Eugene Bouah 🟨
32'
35'
🟨 Tobias Storm
37'
🟨 Philippe Sandler
Ilyes Hamache ⚽
54'
87'
🟨 Noe Lebreton
Iwan Henstra (Jamal Amofa) ⚽
90+2'
90+5'
🟨 Almugera Kabar
Iwan Henstra 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
37%
Ball Possession
63%
16
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
5
16
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
T. Jansen
D. Bouah
I. Baouf
B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli
M. Maertens
N. Souren
F. Kvam
R. El Arguioui
I. Hamache
N. Binder
Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
G. Crettaz
T. Storm
P. Sandler
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Adam Tahaui
D. Nejašmić
D. Geiger
Clement Bischoff
T. Chery
N. Lebreton
K. Sierhuis
Player Ratings ?
Cambuur
I. HamacheM9.5
R. El ArguiouiM7.2
Iwan HenstraF7.1
Nijmegen
T. CheryM7.2
K. SierhuisF6.5
Kevin KersF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nijmegen
Nijmegen rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Nijmegen a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nijmegen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nijmegen stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nijmegen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nijmegen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nijmegen have secured three wins and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Cambuur have suffered four defeats in their corresponding home fixtures over the same period. Cambuur have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that identical sequence. Nijmegen face potential selection issues with two players unavailable and a further two listed as doubtful ahead of this clash. Nijmegen rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 11 February 2023, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Cambuur's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Nijmegen's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nijmegen a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Cambuur losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Cambuur points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Nijmegen
Nijmegen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Nijmegen win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cambuur win
Latest market chance 18.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
17.6% → 18.9%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
18.4% → 19.5%
+1.1 pts
Nijmegen win
Latest market chance 61.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
64.0% → 61.6%
−2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cambuur
Draw
Nijmegen
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CambuurNijmegen
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
9th
5
Games Played
5
0.20
Points/Game
1.40
1.20
Goals/Game
2.20
3.60
Conceded/Game
1.80
11.9
Shots/Game
15.1
4.1
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Cambuur at home (4 matches) vs Nijmegen away (3 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.50
Goals/Game
2.33
3.25
Conceded/Game
1.67
25%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cambuur
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Nijmegen
Away form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cambuur Wins
1
Draws
1
Nijmegen Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Nijmegen0 – 0Cambuur
Cambuur0 – 1Nijmegen
Cambuur1 – 2Nijmegen
Nijmegen2 – 3Cambuur
Nijmegen2 – 1Cambuur
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cambuurvs
Nijmegen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.90
Goals conceded / game
1.50
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.6%→Latest 69.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 65.2%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Cambuur's 10 matches and 5 of Nijmegen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?