Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven Head to Head, Prediction
WerkTalent Stadion
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
9.85
Draw
6.70
Away Win
1.26
Match Prediction
Data favours
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving PSV Eindhoven a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Attack
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Defence
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Den Haag win
Latest market chance 10.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
10.3% → 10.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 14.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.9% → 14.9%
±0.0 pts
PSV Eindhoven win
Latest market chance 74.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
74.8% → 74.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Den Haag
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
3rd
7
Games Played
7
0.29
Points/Game
2.29
1.00
Goals/Game
3.43
2.43
Conceded/Game
1.43
11.9
Shots/Game
21.0
3.4
Shots on Target
8.4
Home vs Away Context
Den Haag at home (3 matches) vs PSV Eindhoven away (4 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
2.25
1.33
Goals/Game
3.25
2.67
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Den Haag
Home form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
PSV Eindhoven
Away form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
3.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Den Haag Wins
0
Draws
1
PSV Eindhoven Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.8
Den Haag2 – 2PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven4 – 0Den Haag
Den Haag0 – 3PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven3 – 1Den Haag
PSV Eindhoven3 – 1Den Haag
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Den Haagvs
PSV Eindhoven
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
3.50
2.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.9%→Latest 76.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Den Haag's 10 matches and 3 of PSV Eindhoven's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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