Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
De Adelaarshorst
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.98
Away Win
4.37
Match Prediction
Data favours
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Go Ahead Eagles a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam have managed just one win in their last five away outings, while Go Ahead Eagles boast a more balanced run with two victories and two draws from five home fixtures. At home, Go Ahead Eagles have found the net in four of their last five matches but have managed only one clean sheet in that same period. Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 22-day comparison window, Go Ahead Eagles's implied win probability has risen by 4.6 percentage points, while Sparta Rotterdam's implied win probability has fallen by 3.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Go Ahead Eagles a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Go Ahead Eagles
No current absences reported
Sparta Rotterdam
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Go Ahead Eagles win as more likely than it did 22 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Go Ahead Eagles win
Latest market chance 53.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
49.3% → 53.9%
+4.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.6% → 23.5%
−1.1 pts
Sparta Rotterdam win
Latest market chance 22.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
26.2% → 22.6%
−3.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Go Ahead Eagles
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 22 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
13th
8
Games Played
7
1.38
Points/Game
0.71
2.38
Goals/Game
1.43
2.12
Conceded/Game
2.43
15.1
Shots/Game
13.1
6.3
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Go Ahead Eagles at home (3 matches) vs Sparta Rotterdam away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
2.67
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.33
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Go Ahead Eagles
Home form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sparta Rotterdam
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
3
Draws
1
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Sparta Rotterdam2 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles0 – 3Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles1 – 0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam1 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam0 – 2Go Ahead Eagles
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Go Ahead Eaglesvs
Sparta Rotterdam
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded / game
2.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.9%→Latest 67.0%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.7%→Latest 66.0%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Go Ahead Eagles's 10 matches and 3 of Sparta Rotterdam's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?