Groningen vs Zwolle Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
Fri 18 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.54
Draw
4.49
Away Win
6.01
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Groningen
Zwolle
Thom Van Bergen (David van der Werff) ⚽
20'
Jorg Schreuders ⚽
43'
Tygo Land (David van der Werff) ⚽
68'
79'
🟨 Sherel Floranus
79'
🟨 Koen Kostons
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
6
7
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Groningen (4-2-3-1)
E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders
T. Blokzijl
M. Rente
M. Csinger
T. de Jonge
P. Clement
D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen
J. Ondrejka
B. Willumsson
Zwolle (4-1-4-1)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
N. Viergever
S. Floranus
N. Fichtinger
D. Mbayo
T. Oosting
T. Sommer
I. Cissoko
K. Kostons
Player Ratings ?
Groningen
D. van der WerffM8.3
T. van BergenM8.2
J. SchreudersD8.0
Zwolle
S. GravesD6.6
K. KostonsF6.5
S. van HooijdonkF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Groningen edge recent form, attack and defence, Zwolle edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Groningen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Groningen stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Groningen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Groningen have secured two victories from their last five home outings, whereas Zwolle have managed just a solitary win in their corresponding away fixtures over that same span. At home, Groningen have found the net in each of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Five players are unavailable for Groningen, while two are out and one is doubtful for Zwolle ahead of the fixture. Groningen rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Zwolle rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 13 March 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Groningen's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while Zwolle's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Groningen
Groningen's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Groningen win as more likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Groningen win
Latest market chance 60.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
57.4% → 60.5%
+3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.0% → 21.5%
−0.5 pts
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 18.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
20.7% → 18.0%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Groningen
Draw
Zwolle
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GroningenZwolle
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
0.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.17
Conceded/Game
2.83
14.9
Shots/Game
10.6
5.4
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Groningen at home (4 matches) vs Zwolle away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
1.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Groningen
Home form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Zwolle
Away form
L
L
L
W
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Groningen Wins
0
Draws
4
Zwolle Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Zwolle1 – 1Groningen
Groningen2 – 2Zwolle
Zwolle2 – 0Groningen
Groningen0 – 0Zwolle
Zwolle1 – 1Groningen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Groningenvs
Zwolle
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 66.6%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 63.4%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Groningen's 10 matches and 4 of Zwolle's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?