Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadion de Goffert
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 15:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.95
Draw
4.23
Away Win
3.48
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles
Perr Schuurs (Tjaronn Chery) ⚽
2'
10'
⚽ Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
31'
🟨 Søren Tengstedt
77'
🟨 Thibo Baeten
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
17
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
7
8
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
N. Polster
Gabriel Brás
P. Schuurs
T. Storm
Kevin Kers
D. Nejašmić
N. Lebreton
A. Thomas
T. Chery
D. Tadić
B. Linssen
Go Ahead Eagles (4-2-3-1)
K. Haug
A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen
J. Kramer
D. James
M. Meulensteen
E. Linthorst
S. Tengstedt
V. Edvardsen
M. Suray
S. Sigurðarson
Player Ratings ?
Nijmegen
T. CheryM7.6
P. SchuursD7.3
N. PolsterG7.1
Go Ahead Eagles
S. SigurðarsonF7.8
M. MeulensteenM7.2
J. DirksenD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nijmegen edge recent form and defence, attack and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nijmegen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Nijmegen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Go Ahead Eagles have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Nijmegen mix one win with two draws and two losses at home over the same span. Nijmegen have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that period. The hosts face three confirmed absences and one doubtful case, whereas Go Ahead Eagles have just two confirmed unavailable players with no doubts remaining. Nijmegen rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while attack and head-to-head are closely matched. Nijmegen won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Go Ahead Eagles's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Nijmegen's implied win probability has fallen by 13.6 percentage points, while Go Ahead Eagles's implied win probability has risen by 10.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Nijmegen
Nijmegen's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Nijmegen win as less likely than it did 9 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nijmegen win
Latest market chance 48.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
61.6% → 48.0%
−13.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
20.8% → 23.8%
+3.0 pts
Go Ahead Eagles win
Latest market chance 28.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
17.7% → 28.1%
+10.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nijmegen
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NijmegenGo Ahead Eagles
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
9th
6
Games Played
7
1.17
Points/Game
1.43
1.83
Goals/Game
2.57
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.29
15.1
Shots/Game
15.1
4.1
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Nijmegen at home (4 matches) vs Go Ahead Eagles away (5 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
0.80
1.25
Goals/Game
2.20
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.80
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nijmegen
Home form
D
W
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Go Ahead Eagles
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nijmegen Wins
1
Draws
2
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Nijmegen2 – 1Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles1 – 1Nijmegen
Nijmegen2 – 3Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles5 – 0Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles2 – 2Nijmegen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nijmegenvs
Go Ahead Eagles
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.2%→Latest 69.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 69.1%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Nijmegen's 10 matches and 3 of Go Ahead Eagles's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?