Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Head to Head, Prediction
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.57
Draw
4.44
Away Win
5.57
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Sparta Rotterdam a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sparta Rotterdam win
Latest market chance 60.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.8% → 60.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.6%
±0.0 pts
Willem II win
Latest market chance 17.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.7% → 17.7%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Willem II
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
18th
7
Games Played
7
0.71
Points/Game
0.29
1.43
Goals/Game
0.86
2.43
Conceded/Game
2.86
13.1
Shots/Game
11.9
4.3
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Sparta Rotterdam at home (4 matches) vs Willem II away (3 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
0.33
1.25
Goals/Game
1.00
2.50
Conceded/Game
3.33
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home form
L
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Willem II
Away form
D
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
4
Draws
0
Willem II Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Sparta Rotterdam4 – 0Willem II
Willem II1 – 2Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam1 – 0Willem II
Willem II0 – 3Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam0 – 2Willem II
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sparta Rotterdamvs
Willem II
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.60
Goals conceded / game
2.50
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.1%→Latest 64.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 60.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Sparta Rotterdam's 10 matches and 3 of Willem II's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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