Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle Head to Head, Prediction
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Fri 04 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.86
Draw
3.88
Away Win
3.89
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle
21'
⚽ Ibrahim Cissoko (Dylan Mbayo)
Milan Zonneveld (Julian Baas) ⚽
24'
63'
🟨 Sherel Floranus
Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi (Milan Zonneveld) ⚽
69'
80'
⚽ Koen Kostons (Tobias Sommer)
86'
🟨 Tobias Sommer
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
21
Total Shots
15
8
Shots on Goal
6
15
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam (4-2-3-1)
M. Brouwer
L. Martes
M. Young
B. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers
J. Baas
Cedric Hatenboer
C. Terho
S. Mito
M. van Bergen
M. Zonneveld
Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
N. Viergever
S. Floranus
R. Thomas
T. Sommer
D. Mbayo
T. Oosting
I. Cissoko
K. Kostons
Player Ratings ?
Sparta Rotterdam
M. ZonneveldF8.5
J. BaasM7.4
Cedric HatenboerM7.2
Zwolle
J. SchendelaarG8.0
K. KostonsF7.8
T. SommerM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sparta Rotterdam edge attack and defence, Zwolle edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Zwolle slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sparta Rotterdam slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Zwolle stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Sparta Rotterdam win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sparta Rotterdam win
Latest market chance 51.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
52.3% → 51.4%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 24.3%
+0.7 pts
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.4%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Zwolle
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sparta RotterdamZwolle
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
13th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
0.75
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.1
Shots/Game
10.6
4.3
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Sparta Rotterdam at home (4 matches) vs Zwolle away (4 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.25
2.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Zwolle
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
0
Draws
2
Zwolle Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.6
Sparta Rotterdam1 – 1Zwolle
Zwolle1 – 0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam1 – 1Zwolle
Zwolle1 – 0Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam0 – 2Zwolle
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sparta Rotterdamvs
Zwolle
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded / game
2.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.2%→Latest 64.4%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.5%→Latest 64.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Sparta Rotterdam's 10 matches and 6 of Zwolle's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?