Twente vs Telstar Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
De Grolsch Veste
Wed 09 Sep 2026 · 17:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.29
Draw
6.34
Away Win
8.40
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Twente
Telstar
Younes Taha El Idrissi 🟨
23'
46'
🟨 Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
55'
🟨 Marvin Peersman
62'
🟨 Sem valk
Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter (Younes Taha El Idrissi) ⚽
65'
Wout Weghorst •
81'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
22
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Goal
2
9
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Twente (4-2-3-1)
L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
M. Bruns
R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki
D. Weidmann
D. Rots
Y. Taha
S. Ørjasæter
W. Weghorst
Telstar (3-4-2-1)
R. Koeman
S. Valk
A. Soualhia
M. Peersman
Gerald Alders
N. Rossen
T. Owusu
J. Hardeveld
Rui Mendes
P. Brouwer
N. Þórisson
Player Ratings ?
Twente
S. ØrjasæterM8.2
Y. TahaM7.7
B. van RooijD7.7
Telstar
R. KoemanG8.0
A. SoualhiaD7.2
M. PeersmanD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Twente edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Twente stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Twente have secured three wins from their last five home outings, while Telstar have recorded two victories in that same span away from home. Twente have scored in four of their last five home matches but managed only one clean sheet in that same period. Twente have two players unavailable for selection. Twente rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Twente's implied win probability has risen by 4.3 percentage points, while Telstar's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Twente
Twente's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Twente win as more likely than it did 9 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Twente win
Latest market chance 74.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
71.9% → 74.5%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
17.2% → 15.4%
−1.8 pts
Telstar win
Latest market chance 10.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
10.9% → 10.1%
−0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Twente
Draw
Telstar
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TwenteTelstar
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
14th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.50
21.6
Shots/Game
7.9
7.6
Shots on Target
2.1
Home vs Away Context
Twente at home (4 matches) vs Telstar away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
0.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
100%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Twente
Home form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Telstar
Away form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Twente Wins
0
Draws
2
Telstar Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.0
Telstar1 – 1Twente
Twente0 – 0Telstar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Twentevs
Telstar
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.2%→Latest 72.4%+4.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 59.0%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Twente's 10 matches and 6 of Telstar's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?