Zwolle vs Cambuur Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.94
Draw
4.04
Away Win
3.44
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cambuur edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cambuur slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cambuur stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cambuur stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cambuur slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cambuur have struggled away from home with just two draws and three losses in their last five outings, while Zwolle sit at the opposite end of the spectrum domestically with only a solitary win to show from four defeats in that same span. At home, Zwolle have found the net in just two of their last five matches and managed only a single clean sheet during that period. Cambuur rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form and head-to-head. Zwolle won the most recent meeting 4-3 on 12 February 2022, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cambuur's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. Over the 23-day comparison window, Zwolle's implied win probability has fallen by 3.6 percentage points, while Cambuur's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Cambuur losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
67%
Zwolle yellow cards after 75'
Team Availability
Zwolle
No current absences reported
Cambuur
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Zwolle
Zwolle's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Zwolle win as less likely than it did 23 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Zwolle win
Latest market chance 49.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
52.6% → 49.0%
−3.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.3% → 24.4%
+1.1 pts
Cambuur win
Latest market chance 26.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
24.1% → 26.5%
+2.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
18 snapshots
+4+20−2Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Zwolle
Draw
Cambuur
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 23 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Zwolle
Cambuur
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
15th
7
Games Played
7
0.57
Points/Game
0.71
0.86
Goals/Game
1.43
2.86
Conceded/Game
2.71
10.6
Shots/Game
11.9
3.4
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Zwolle at home (3 matches) vs Cambuur away (3 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
0.67
0.33
Goals/Game
1.33
4.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Zwolle
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Cambuur
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Zwolle Wins
2
Draws
1
Cambuur Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.4
2022-02-122021-2022
Cambuur3 – 4Zwolle
2021-11-062021-2022
Zwolle1 – 2Cambuur
2016-02-272015-2016
Cambuur1 – 0Zwolle
2015-08-122015-2016
Zwolle2 – 2Cambuur
2015-03-072014-2015
Zwolle6 – 1Cambuur
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Zwolle
vs
Cambuur
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.50
Goals conceded / game
2.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
62.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
42.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
63.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.1%→Latest 62.8%−2.3 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 23 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.4%→Latest 63.7%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 23 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Zwolle's 10 matches and 3 of Cambuur's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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