Antwerp vs St. Gilloise Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bosuilstadion
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.28
Draw
4.38
Away Win
1.61
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Antwerp
St. Gilloise
Michael Frey 🟨
18'
18'
🟨 Adem Zorgane
Arthur Vermeeren 🟨
25'
51'
⚽ Mateo Biondic (Relebohile Mofokeng)
Bahmed Deuff 🟨
67'
Bahmed Deuff 🟥
69'
Snayder Porozo 🟨
75'
75'
🟨 Hervé Koffi
78'
⚽ Denzel De Roeve (Kevin Rodriguez)
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
7
Total Shots
21
1
Shots on Goal
11
1
Corner Kicks
7
16
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Antwerp (4-4-2)
T. Nozawa
M. Busi
R. Van Helden
Álvaro Cortés Moyano
Luca Schelfhout
A. Vermeeren
M. Fofana
B. Deuff
X. Dierckx
C. Scott
M. Frey
St. Gilloise (3-1-4-2)
H. Koffi
N. Havenaar
M. Sylla
O. Kričfaluši
K. Van de Perre
L. Patris
B. Zeneli
A. Zorgane
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
R. Mofokeng
M. Biondic
Player Ratings ?
Antwerp
T. NozawaG8.3
Álvaro Cortés MoyanoD6.8
C. ScottF6.7
St. Gilloise
D. De RoeveD8.0
M. SyllaD8.0
M. BiondicF7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving St. Gilloise an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St. Gilloise have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings, while Antwerp have been more mixed at home with two victories but also two losses in the same span. Antwerp have found the net in four of their last five home matches yet have only managed a single clean sheet during that identical period. St. Gilloise rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. St. Gilloise won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Antwerp's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Antwerp's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points, while St. Gilloise's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours St. Gilloise.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St. Gilloise win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Antwerp win
Latest market chance 18.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.3% → 18.0%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.6% → 22.5%
−1.1 pts
St. Gilloise win
Latest market chance 59.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
58.1% → 59.5%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Antwerp
Draw
St. Gilloise
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AntwerpSt. Gilloise
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
2.67
1.83
Goals/Game
3.17
2.17
Conceded/Game
0.50
15.1
Shots/Game
17.3
5.4
Shots on Target
8.0
Home vs Away Context
Antwerp at home (4 matches) vs St. Gilloise away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.75
Goals/Game
3.25
2.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
25%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Antwerp
Home form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St. Gilloise
Away form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Antwerp Wins
0
Draws
1
St. Gilloise Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.6
St. Gilloise2 – 1Antwerp
Antwerp1 – 1St. Gilloise
Antwerp0 – 4St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise5 – 1Antwerp
St. Gilloise2 – 1Antwerp
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Antwerpvs
St. Gilloise
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 58.1%+7.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 56.0%+5.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Antwerp's 10 matches and 4 of St. Gilloise's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?