Beveren vs St Truiden Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Freethiel Stadion
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.26
Draw
3.48
Away Win
2.25
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Beveren
St Truiden
Chris Lokesa ⚽ (P)
52'
Jearl Margaritha (Christian Bruls) ⚽
55'
Christophe Janssens 🟨
84'
Ferre Slegers 🟨
86'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
0
1
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Beveren (4-2-3-1)
J. Schenk
L. Jans
Y. Gomis
B. Godeau
C. Janssens
S. Dewaele
C. Conde
C. Lokesa
C. Brüls
J. Margaritha
M. Kaboré
St Truiden (4-2-3-1)
L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael
W. Janssens
V. Musliu
T. Hata
R. Merlen
A. Sissako
K. Matsuzawa
R. Araki
I. Sebaoui
S. Baždar
Player Ratings ?
Beveren
Y. GomisD7.9
J. MargarithaM7.9
C. BrülsM7.7
St Truiden
W. JanssensD7.1
I. SebaouiM7.0
T. HataD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
St Truiden
St Truiden rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving St Truiden a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Attack
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Truiden slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St Truiden have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Beveren remain unbeaten at home with two victories and three draws in that same span. Beveren have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have kept just three clean sheets across that identical period. St Truiden rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2007. The overall statistical comparison gives St Truiden a slight edge.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 1 day before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Beveren win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.4% → 29.9%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 27.4%
+0.3 pts
St Truiden win
Latest market chance 42.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.5% → 42.7%
+0.2 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Beveren
St Truiden
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
9th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
1.60
1.00
Goals/Game
2.40
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.60
10.7
Shots/Game
17.3
3.3
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Beveren at home (3 matches) vs St Truiden away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.33
2.00
Goals/Game
2.33
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Beveren
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
St Truiden
Away form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Beveren Wins
1
Draws
1
St Truiden Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
2007-05-192006-2007
St Truiden3 – 2Beveren
2006-12-162006-2007
Beveren1 – 2St Truiden
2006-02-042005-2006
Beveren1 – 1St Truiden
2005-08-262005-2006
St Truiden1 – 0Beveren
2005-02-052004-2005
Beveren3 – 1St Truiden
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Beveren
vs
St Truiden
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
59.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 59.0%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Beveren's 10 matches and 5 of St Truiden's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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