Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Jan Breydel Stadion
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.57
Draw
3.78
Away Win
1.97
Match Prediction
Data favours
Anderlecht
Anderlecht rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Anderlecht a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Both sides have struggled in their most recent outings, with Anderlecht recording just one win from five away fixtures while Cercle Brugge managed only a solitary victory in their last five home games. At home, Cercle Brugge have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Anderlecht rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Cercle Brugge won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 22 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Anderlecht's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Anderlecht a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Cercle Brugge
No current absences reported
Anderlecht
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cercle Brugge win
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 27.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.6%
±0.0 pts
Anderlecht win
Latest market chance 47.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.0% → 47.0%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Cercle Brugge
Anderlecht
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
5th
7
Games Played
7
0.43
Points/Game
1.86
1.14
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.71
14.6
Shots/Game
16.6
3.9
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Cercle Brugge at home (3 matches) vs Anderlecht away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.33
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cercle Brugge
Home form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Anderlecht
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cercle Brugge Wins
1
Draws
1
Anderlecht Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-03-222025-2026
Anderlecht2 – 3Cercle Brugge
2025-08-032025-2026
Cercle Brugge0 – 2Anderlecht
2025-03-162024-2025
Anderlecht3 – 0Cercle Brugge
2024-11-102024-2025
Cercle Brugge0 – 5Anderlecht
2024-04-282023-2024
Cercle Brugge1 – 1Anderlecht
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cercle Brugge
vs
Anderlecht
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
36.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 56.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 59.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Cercle Brugge's 10 matches and 3 of Anderlecht's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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