Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.81
Draw
4.07
Away Win
4.11
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
Freddy Mbemba (Jakob Napoleon Romsaas) ⚽
15'
Aurelien Scheidler (Patrick Pflücke) ⚽
25'
30'
⚽ Dante Vanzeir (Erick Nunes)
Aurelien Scheidler ⚽ (P)
61'
73'
⚽ (P) Steve Ngoura
82'
🟨 Ibrahim Diakite
Yassine Khalifi 🟨
82'
Mario Kohnen 🟨
90'
Aiham Ousou 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
14
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
2
15
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
M. Koné
K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou
C. Keita
M. Nzita
Y. Khalifi
A. Boukamir
P. Pflücke
J. Romsaas
F. Situmona Mbemba
A. Scheidler
Cercle Brugge (5-3-2)
G. Coucke
Erick
I. Diakité
G. Kondo
R. Caicedo
V. Konaté
L. Amani
L. Mondele
G. Magnée
D. Vanzeir
K. Kouassi
Player Ratings ?
Charleroi
A. ScheidlerF7.8
J. RomsaasM7.7
F. Situmona MbembaM7.6
Cercle Brugge
D. VanzeirF7.5
S. NgouraF7.5
G. KondoD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Charleroi
Charleroi rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Cercle Brugge edge head-to-head, giving Charleroi a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charleroi slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cercle Brugge stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cercle Brugge have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Charleroi have secured two wins in that same number of home outings. Charleroi have found the net in four of their last five matches at home, yet they have managed only a single clean sheet during that identical run. Charleroi rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Cercle Brugge rate stronger on head-to-head. Cercle Brugge won the most recent meeting 4-3 on 7 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Charleroi's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Charleroi's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Cercle Brugge's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Charleroi a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Charleroi remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charleroi win
Latest market chance 53.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
55.2% → 53.8%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
21.8% → 23.4%
+1.6 pts
Cercle Brugge win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.1% → 22.8%
−0.3 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharleroiCercle Brugge
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
15th
6
Games Played
6
2.50
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.83
18.0
Shots/Game
14.6
5.9
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Charleroi at home (4 matches) vs Cercle Brugge away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.50
2.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charleroi
Home form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cercle Brugge
Away form
W
L
D
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charleroi Wins
1
Draws
2
Cercle Brugge Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Charleroi3 – 4Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge2 – 3Charleroi
Charleroi1 – 1Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge2 – 0Charleroi
Charleroi0 – 0Cercle Brugge
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charleroivs
Cercle Brugge
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded / game
2.00
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 59.2%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 59.5%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Charleroi's 10 matches and 4 of Cercle Brugge's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?