Genk vs Kortrijk Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cegeka Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.46
Draw
4.42
Away Win
6.92
Match Prediction
Data favours
Genk
Genk rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Genk an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genk stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Genk have enjoyed a solid run at home with three wins and two draws in their last five outings, while Kortrijk have struggled away from home, managing just a single victory from their last five matches. At home, Genk have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Genk rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Genk won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 7 December 2024, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Kortrijk's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Genk.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Kortrijk losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
57%
Genk yellow cards after 75'
Team Availability
Genk
No current absences reported
Kortrijk
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genk win
Latest market chance 64.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
64.7% → 64.6%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.4% → 20.4%
±0.0 pts
Kortrijk win
Latest market chance 15.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.9% → 15.1%
+0.2 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenkKortrijk
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
18th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
0.43
1.86
Goals/Game
0.29
1.71
Conceded/Game
2.14
14.1
Shots/Game
11.7
4.9
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Genk at home (3 matches) vs Kortrijk away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.00
2.67
Goals/Game
0.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.33
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Genk
Home form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kortrijk
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genk Wins
3
Draws
0
Kortrijk Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Genk3 – 2Kortrijk
Kortrijk2 – 1Genk
Genk4 – 0Kortrijk
Kortrijk0 – 3Genk
Kortrijk1 – 0Genk
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genkvs
Kortrijk
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
3/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 59.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.6%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Genk's 10 matches and 3 of Kortrijk's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?