Mechelen vs Anderlecht Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Achter de Kazerne
Fri 11 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.38
Draw
3.77
Away Win
1.83
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Mechelen
Anderlecht
5'
🟨 Giulian Biancone
40'
🟨 Andrew Omobamidele
43'
⚽ Tawfik Bentayeb (Ilias Koutsoupias)
60'
🟨 Ilias Koutsoupias
Fredrik Hammar 🟨
80'
82'
🟨 Leo Petrot
Frederik Vanderbiest 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
15
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
3
10
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
21
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Mechelen (3-4-1-2)
Nacho Mirás
L. Marijnissen
M. Eerdhuijzen
José Marsà
S. Michez
F. Hammar
D. Praet
T. Koudou
Marco Decherf
Bouke Boersma
M. van Brederode
Anderlecht (4-4-2)
C. Coosemans
A. Maamar
G. Biancone
L. Pétrot
L. Augustinsson
M. Winkler
I. Koutsoupias
M. Kana
O. Antman
T. Bentayeb
D. Sikan
Player Ratings ?
Mechelen
B. AntonioF6.8
M. Lohunanu-MbasiF6.7
M. EerdhuijzenD6.6
Anderlecht
T. BentayebF8.0
C. CoosemansG7.8
I. KoutsoupiasM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Anderlecht
Anderlecht rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Anderlecht a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Anderlecht slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Anderlecht stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Anderlecht have struggled away from home with just a single draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Mechelen sit slightly steadier at home with one win, two draws and two losses over the same run. Mechelen have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have managed only a solitary clean sheet during that identical spell. Anderlecht rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Mechelen's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points, while Anderlecht's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Anderlecht a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Anderlecht
Anderlecht's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Anderlecht win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mechelen win
Latest market chance 22.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.4% → 22.2%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.2% → 25.4%
−0.8 pts
Anderlecht win
Latest market chance 52.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
49.4% → 52.4%
+3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mechelen
Draw
Anderlecht
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MechelenAnderlecht
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
11th
5
Games Played
5
0.40
Points/Game
1.40
1.00
Goals/Game
0.60
2.60
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.9
Shots/Game
16.6
3.1
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Mechelen at home (3 matches) vs Anderlecht away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.33
2.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mechelen
Home form
L
W
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Anderlecht
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mechelen Wins
1
Draws
1
Anderlecht Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Anderlecht2 – 2Mechelen
Mechelen1 – 2Anderlecht
Mechelen1 – 0Anderlecht
Anderlecht3 – 1Mechelen
Anderlecht4 – 1Mechelen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mechelenvs
Anderlecht
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 56.8%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 57.6%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Mechelen's 10 matches and 5 of Anderlecht's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?