Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Cercle Brugge Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Den Dreef
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.52
Draw
3.62
Away Win
2.74
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Cercle Brugge
Davis Opoku (Siebe Schrijvers) ⚽
25'
Siebe Schrijvers 🟨
48'
66'
🟨 Valy Konaté
71'
🟨 Emmanuel Kakou
81'
🟨 Lukas Mondele
Oscar Gil Regaño 🟨
90+4'
Kyan Vaesen 🟨
90+5'
90+6'
⚽ (P) Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
11
17
Fouls
18
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Oud-Heverlee Leuven (3-4-3)
D. van den Heuvel
J. Lawrence
N. Dussenne
R. Nyakossi
Óscar Gil
W. George
B. Verstraete
D. Opoku
R. Mirisola
S. Schrijvers
A. Traoré
Cercle Brugge (3-4-2-1)
G. Coucke
Emmanuel Kakou
G. Kondo
R. Caicedo
I. Diakité
G. Magnée
L. Mondele
V. Konaté
Erick
D. Vanzeir
S. Ngoura
Player Ratings ?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
D. OpokuM7.5
S. SchrijversF7.3
S. YamadaF7.0
Cercle Brugge
K. KouassiF7.8
S. NgouraF6.9
Abdoul OuattaraF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Cercle Brugge a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cercle Brugge stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cercle Brugge stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cercle Brugge slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cercle Brugge stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cercle Brugge have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven have suffered four defeats in that same span at home. Oud-Heverlee Leuven have managed to score in only two of their last five home matches and kept just a single clean sheet during that period. Cercle Brugge rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Cercle Brugge won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 21 December 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Oud-Heverlee Leuven's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison gives Cercle Brugge a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Oud-Heverlee Leuven losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Oud-Heverlee Leuven points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oud-Heverlee Leuven win as more likely than it did 1 day ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Latest market chance 37.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
36.5% → 37.7%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.6%
−0.1 pts
Cercle Brugge win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
36.9% → 35.7%
−1.2 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 1 day before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Cercle Brugge
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
14th
5
Games Played
5
0.00
Points/Game
0.40
0.40
Goals/Game
1.00
2.40
Conceded/Game
2.00
13.1
Shots/Game
14.6
2.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home (4 matches) vs Cercle Brugge away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Cercle Brugge
Away form
D
W
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Wins
1
Draws
1
Cercle Brugge Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
2025-12-212025-2026
Oud-Heverlee Leuven0 – 2Cercle Brugge
2025-11-082025-2026
Cercle Brugge1 – 2Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-12-222024-2025
Cercle Brugge1 – 0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-08-182024-2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 – 1Cercle Brugge
2023-12-162023-2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven1 – 2Cercle Brugge
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
vs
Cercle Brugge
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
57.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
37.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 61.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 1 day before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Oud-Heverlee Leuven's 10 matches and 5 of Cercle Brugge's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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