St Truiden vs St. Gilloise Head to Head, Prediction
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Wed 02 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.93
Draw
3.75
Away Win
1.93
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
St Truiden
St. Gilloise
21'
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
23'
⚽ Louis Patris (Mateo Biondic)
Abdoulaye Sissako 🟨
47'
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael 🟨
49'
Nelson Ishiwatari 🟨
54'
55'
⚽ Kevin Mac Allister (Besfort Zeneli)
61'
🟨 Kamiel Van De Perre
63'
⚽ Relebohile Mofokeng (Mateo Biondic)
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
6
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
6
3
Corner Kicks
1
14
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
St Truiden (4-2-3-1)
L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael
W. Janssens
V. Musliu
J. Pupe
N. Ishiwatari
A. Sissako
A. Muja
R. Araki
I. Sebaoui
O. Diouf
St. Gilloise (3-4-3)
H. Koffi
K. Mac Allister
M. Sylla
O. Kričfaluši
L. Patris
A. Zorgane
K. Van de Perre
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
R. Mofokeng
M. Biondic
B. Zeneli
Player Ratings ?
St Truiden
V. MusliuD6.8
S. BaždarF6.7
A. SissakoM6.4
St. Gilloise
L. PatrisM8.2
R. MofokengF8.2
K. Mac AllisterD8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St. Gilloise edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St. Gilloise slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
St. Gilloise slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St. Gilloise stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a St. Gilloise win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Truiden win
Latest market chance 25.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.4% → 25.2%
−1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.1% → 26.8%
−0.3 pts
St. Gilloise win
Latest market chance 48.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
46.5% → 48.0%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Truiden
Draw
St. Gilloise
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St TruidenSt. Gilloise
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
6th
3
Games Played
3
1.67
Points/Game
2.33
2.67
Goals/Game
2.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
17.3
Shots/Game
17.3
4.3
Shots on Target
8.0
Home vs Away Context
St Truiden at home (4 matches) vs St. Gilloise away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.25
Goals/Game
3.25
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.75
25%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Truiden
Home form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St. Gilloise
Away form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Truiden Wins
1
Draws
0
St. Gilloise Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.6
St Truiden2 – 1St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise1 – 0St Truiden
St Truiden1 – 3St. Gilloise
St. Gilloise2 – 0St Truiden
St. Gilloise2 – 1St Truiden
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Truidenvs
St. Gilloise
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 53.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 57.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of St Truiden's 10 matches and 7 of St. Gilloise's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?