St Truiden vs Westerlo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stayen
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
3.97
Away Win
4.78
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
St Truiden
Westerlo
36'
⚽ Norman Bassette (Cisse Sandra)
46'
⚽ Cisse Sandra (Isa Sakamoto)
73'
🟨 Norman Bassette
Visar Musliu 🟨
73'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
8
6
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
St Truiden (4-2-3-1)
L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael
S. Taniguchi
V. Musliu
T. Hata
R. Merlen
A. Sissako
K. Matsuzawa
R. Araki
I. Sebaoui
S. Baždar
Westerlo (4-2-3-1)
A. Jungdal
L. Flø
S. Kimura
A. Lapage
D. Ourega
I. Fofana
C. Sandra
C. Congreve
I. Sakamoto
S. Saito
N. Bassette
Player Ratings ?
St Truiden
L. KokuboG7.6
I. SebaouiM7.1
A. SissakoM6.7
Westerlo
C. SandraM9.0
N. BassetteF7.5
I. SakamotoM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. St Truiden edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
St Truiden slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St Truiden stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Westerlo have recorded two away wins in their last five outings, while St Truiden boast a mixed home record with two victories and one draw from their latest five matches. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home fixtures but have kept just two clean sheets during that same span. St Truiden rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack is closely matched. St Truiden won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 6 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Westerlo's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from St Truiden
St Truiden's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a St Truiden win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Truiden win
Latest market chance 55.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
56.9% → 55.2%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.5% → 24.0%
+0.5 pts
Westerlo win
Latest market chance 20.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
19.7% → 20.9%
+1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Truiden
Draw
Westerlo
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St TruidenWesterlo
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
13th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
1.17
2.00
Goals/Game
2.17
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
17.3
Shots/Game
15.3
4.3
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
St Truiden at home (4 matches) vs Westerlo away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.25
Goals/Game
2.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Truiden
Home form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Westerlo
Away form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Truiden Wins
3
Draws
1
Westerlo Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Westerlo0 – 4St Truiden
St Truiden0 – 3Westerlo
Westerlo1 – 2St Truiden
St Truiden2 – 0Westerlo
Westerlo2 – 2St Truiden
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Truidenvs
Westerlo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.7%→Latest 64.7%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.4%→Latest 64.0%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of St Truiden's 10 matches and 4 of Westerlo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?